Opening a Chaos Rising Booster Box has an estimated singles value of €160.75 versus its €168.59 price (95% of cost) — it's roughly break-even, based on 36 packs and published Pokémon TCG pull rates.
| Rarity tier | Avg value | Per box | Value / box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Secret · Special Illustration · Hyper | €82.40 | 1.2 | €94.93 |
| Ultra & Illustration Rares | €3.72 | 5.2 | €19.31 |
| Double Rares (ex) | €0.57 | 5.1 | €2.93 |
| Rares & Holos | €0.54 | ~31 | €16.65 |
| Commons & Uncommons | €0.08 | ~317 | €26.93 |
Estimate: 36 packs × per-pack pull rates (Scarlet & Violet era), each tier valued at its average live FoilMarket EUR price for Chaos Rising. The Pokémon Company doesn't publish official odds — these are large-sample estimates from TCGplayer's pull-rate data (≈5,000–8,500 packs/set) and corroborating box breaks, so real odds vary set to set and any specific chase card can be far rarer than its tier average. A long-run average, not a guarantee for one box; sealed products can also appreciate on their own. Estimate only, not investment advice.
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The estimated value of the singles inside a Chaos Rising Booster Box is €160.75, versus a box price of €168.59 (95% of cost) — so it's roughly break-even. This is the long-run average; a single box is high-variance.
Based on 36 packs and large-sample pull-rate data, the expected value of the singles in a Chaos Rising Booster Box is about €160.75 (€4.47 per pack), using live FoilMarket EUR prices for Chaos Rising.
With an estimated singles value of €160.75 versus the €168.59 box price, buying the specific singles you want is usually the cheaper way to get cards from Chaos Rising.