Lost Origin Booster Box — worth opening?

Lost Origin Booster Box

Opening a Lost Origin Booster Box has an estimated singles value of €322.05 versus its €779.63 price (41% of cost) — buying singles is cheaper, based on 36 packs and published Pokémon TCG pull rates.

Expected value by rarity

Rarity tierAvg valuePer boxValue / box
Secret · Special Illustration · Hyper€8.171.0€8.24
Ultra & Illustration Rares€26.904.3€116.22
Rares & Holos€4.32~36€155.34
Commons & Uncommons€0.13~319€42.25

Top chase cards in Lost Origin

Estimate: 36 packs × per-pack pull rates (Sword & Shield / older era), each tier valued at its average live FoilMarket EUR price for Lost Origin. The Pokémon Company doesn't publish official odds — these are large-sample estimates from TCGplayer's pull-rate data (≈5,000–8,500 packs/set) and corroborating box breaks, so real odds vary set to set and any specific chase card can be far rarer than its tier average. A long-run average, not a guarantee for one box; sealed products can also appreciate on their own. Estimate only, not investment advice.

View Lost Origin Booster Box listings · browse Lost Origin singles · try other boxes.

Lost Origin Booster Box — frequently asked questions

Is the Lost Origin Booster Box worth opening?

The estimated value of the singles inside a Lost Origin Booster Box is €322.05, versus a box price of €779.63 (41% of cost) — so buying singles is cheaper. This is the long-run average; a single box is high-variance.

What are the singles in a Lost Origin Booster Box worth?

Based on 36 packs and large-sample pull-rate data, the expected value of the singles in a Lost Origin Booster Box is about €322.05 (€8.95 per pack), using live FoilMarket EUR prices for Lost Origin.

Should I rip or buy singles from Lost Origin?

With an estimated singles value of €322.05 versus the €779.63 box price, buying the specific singles you want is usually the cheaper way to get cards from Lost Origin.