Opening a Sword & Shield Booster Box has an estimated singles value of €162.26 versus its €633.87 price (26% of cost) — buying singles is cheaper, based on 36 packs and published Pokémon TCG pull rates.
| Rarity tier | Avg value | Per box | Value / box |
|---|---|---|---|
| Secret · Special Illustration · Hyper | €14.25 | 1.0 | €14.36 |
| Ultra & Illustration Rares | €10.86 | 4.3 | €46.90 |
| Rares & Holos | €1.87 | ~36 | €67.41 |
| Commons & Uncommons | €0.11 | ~319 | €33.59 |
Estimate: 36 packs × per-pack pull rates (Sword & Shield / older era), each tier valued at its average live FoilMarket EUR price for Sword & Shield. The Pokémon Company doesn't publish official odds — these are large-sample estimates from TCGplayer's pull-rate data (≈5,000–8,500 packs/set) and corroborating box breaks, so real odds vary set to set and any specific chase card can be far rarer than its tier average. A long-run average, not a guarantee for one box; sealed products can also appreciate on their own. Estimate only, not investment advice.
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Price data: Cardmarket
The estimated value of the singles inside a Sword & Shield Booster Box is €162.26, versus a box price of €633.87 (26% of cost) — so buying singles is cheaper. This is the long-run average; a single box is high-variance.
Based on 36 packs and large-sample pull-rate data, the expected value of the singles in a Sword & Shield Booster Box is about €162.26 (€4.51 per pack), using live FoilMarket EUR prices for Sword & Shield.
With an estimated singles value of €162.26 versus the €633.87 box price, buying the specific singles you want is usually the cheaper way to get cards from Sword & Shield.